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US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra 100% Completed Match 100% US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Set 2 Winner 100% US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $119K Liquidity: $208K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra100%
Completed Match100%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Set 2 Winner100%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Set 1 Winner100%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Game Spread +/-6.5100%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Match O/U 21.50%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Set 1 O/U 8.50%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Set 2 O/U 8.50%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Match O/U 22.50%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Match O/U 23.50%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Solana Sierra Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open wta: elina svitolina vs solana sierra. This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Solana Sierra in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitoli…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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