Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Kashima Antlers (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Tōkyō (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kashima Antlers (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Tōkyō (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Kashima Antlers will travel to FC Tōkyō on 23 May 2026 for a J1 League fixture under the new 100 Year Vision League format. The match kicks off at 4:30 AM ET, placing it in the early-season window of the Japanese domestic calendar. Both clubs are established J1 sides with competing ambitions; Kashima has won the league title twice since 2000, whilst Tōkyō has secured three titles in the same period and represents the capital's primary top-flight presence.
The 0% implied probability reflects the market's current inability to price secondary markets around this fixture, rather than any assessment of match likelihood. Historical precedent suggests that when J1 fixtures between mid-table and upper-tier sides lack early liquidity, traders often wait for team news and injury confirmations closer to kick-off before committing capital. Comparable May-fixture markets in the J1 have typically seen probability estimates shift materially once squad rosters are finalised and starting lineups become clearer, usually within 72 hours of match day.
Traders should monitor official J1 League announcements regarding the 100 Year Vision League format specifics, which may affect how secondary markets are structured. Recent fixture scheduling changes in Japanese football have occasionally triggered late adjustments to market availability. Kashima's recent form and any injury updates to key players will influence where value emerges once the market activates. The settlement window closes at 08:30 UTC on 23 May, allowing roughly four hours post-match for resolution.
Methodology
This page reviews Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
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