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Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Any Other Score 48% Sevilla FC 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 46% Sevilla FC 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 23% Sevilla FC 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 14% Volume: $270K Liquidity: $917K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
48% 52% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
48% 52% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score48%
Sevilla FC 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid46%
Sevilla FC 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid23%
Sevilla FC 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid14%
Sevilla FC 2 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid7%
Sevilla FC 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid5%
Sevilla FC 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid2%
Sevilla FC 3 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid2%
Sevilla FC 2 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1%
Sevilla FC 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0%
Sevilla FC 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0%
Sevilla FC 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0%
Sevilla FC 0 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0%
Sevilla FC 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0%
Sevilla FC 0 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0%
Sevilla FC 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0%
Sevilla FC 3 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0%

Market context

Market consensus: 48% chance of sevilla fc vs. rayo vallecano de madrid - exact score. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming La Liga game between Sevilla FC and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the …

Methodology

We track Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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