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LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 52% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $721K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)40%
Game 1 Winner37%
Game 2 Winner36%
Match Winner36%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 69% probability to lol: ctbc flying oyster vs gam esports (bo3) - lcp group stage. This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between CTBC Flying Oyster and GAM Esports in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 31 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying O…

Methodology

We track LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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