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LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win 2026.

Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) 100% Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Volume: $551K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Any Player Quadra Kill90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
First Blood in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to lol: disguised vs sentinels (bo3) - lcs regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between Disguised and Sentinels in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disgui…

Methodology

We track LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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