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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Live odds for "LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 67% Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) 61% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 57% Volume: $75K Liquidity: $440K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon67%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?57%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?57%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?48%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
O/U 2.5 Games35%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Game 2 Winner24%
Game 1 Winner23%
Match Winner14%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%

Market context

Market consensus: 68% chance of lol: edward gaming vs top esports (bo3) - lpl group ascend. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 5 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDwa…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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