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LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Live odds for "LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 82% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 81% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 62% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $327K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon82%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon81%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?60%
Any Player Quadra Kill56%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
Game 1 Winner46%
Game 2 Winner46%
Match Winner43%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?33%
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)32%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors8%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors8%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 82% YES probability for LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Ga…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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