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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 65% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 64% Volume: $73K Liquidity: $519K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?65%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?64%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Game 1 Winner52%
Match Winner52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Game 2 Winner50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Market consensus: 65% chance of lol: bnk fearx vs nongshim red force (bo3) - lck round 3-4 rise group. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rou… on Who Will Win 2026

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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