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LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 100% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 100% Volume: $640K Liquidity: $891K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
First Blood in Game 2?0%
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: fluxo w7m vs loud (bo3) - cblol regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Fluxo W7M and LOUD in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M"…

Methodology

We track LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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