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LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 75% Match Winner 57% Game 1 Winner 55% First Blood in Game 1? 53% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $776K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?75%
Match Winner57%
Game 1 Winner55%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
O/U 2.5 Games52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Game 2 Winner45%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)27%

Market context

Market consensus: 75% chance of lol: g2 esports vs karmine corp (bo3) - lec regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 26 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Es…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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