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LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 87% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Odd/Even Total Kills 50% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 28% Volume: $142K Liquidity: $475K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner87%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%

Market context

Market consensus: 87% chance of lol: gen.g vs karmine corp (bo1) - esports world cup group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Gen.G and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 15 at 5:00AM ET. This m…

Methodology

We track LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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