LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Secret Whales face Deep Cross Gaming in the League of Legends Championship Pro (LCP) Upper bracket final on 31 May, with the match scheduled for 5:00 AM ET. The crowd-implied probability of 78% favours Team Secret Whales, reflecting their positioning as the stronger outfit heading into the playoffs. The best-of-five format means the first team to three victories advances to the grand final.

Team Secret Whales have maintained consistency throughout the regular season, though the LCP remains a competitive region where upsets occur with regularity. Deep Cross Gaming's path to this stage suggests they possess sufficient mechanical skill and strategic depth to trouble favourites, yet the 22-point gap in implied probability indicates the market views this as a clear hierarchy. Historical LCP playoff data shows that teams seeded higher rarely face reversals of more than 15–20 points, suggesting the current odds may already price in Deep Cross Gaming's underdog status fairly. The question for contrarian traders centres on whether Deep Cross Gaming's recent form or specific matchup advantages justify closing that gap.

Traders should monitor roster announcements, scrim results leaking into public channels, and any last-minute schedule changes in the week preceding 31 May. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on that date, leaving a narrow window for resolution if the match runs long. Injury reports or substitute player confirmations could shift perception of Team Secret Whales' capability, particularly if key players are unavailable. The LCP's broadcast schedule and any technical delays remain secondary risks to monitor.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win 2026 triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.