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CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 96% CD Guadalajara O/U 0.5 87% O/U 1.5 80% 1st Half O/U 0.5 72% Volume: $157K Liquidity: $153K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
CD Guadalajara O/U 0.587%
O/U 1.580%
1st Half O/U 0.572%
2nd Half O/U 0.569%
CD Guadalajara 1st Half O/U 0.567%
Club Tijuana O/U 0.560%
CD Guadalajara O/U 1.559%
Club Tijuana 1st Half O/U 0.559%
2nd Half O/U 1.558%
2nd Half O/U 2.558%
O/U 2.557%
CD Guadalajara 2nd Half O/U 0.554%
Both Teams to Score51%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
CD Guadalajara 1st Half O/U 1.550%
Club Tijuana 1st Half O/U 1.550%
CD Guadalajara 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Club Tijuana 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Club Tijuana 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
CD Guadalajara (-1.5)41%
1st Half O/U 1.535%
CD Guadalajara O/U 2.535%
O/U 3.532%
Club Tijuana O/U 1.523%
Both Teams to Score in First Half21%
CD Guadalajara (-2.5)19%
O/U 4.516%
1st Half O/U 2.514%
O/U 5.57%
Club Tijuana O/U 2.56%
Club Tijuana (-1.5)5%
Club Tijuana (-2.5)2%

Market context

Market consensus: 96% chance of cd guadalajara vs. club tijuana - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the Liga MX game, scheduled for August 22 at 7:07 PM ET.

Methodology

We track CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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