🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogSee live odds →

Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 66% O/U 6.5 61% Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox 54% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 51% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $882K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
Open live market →
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.566%
O/U 6.561%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox54%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.551%
NRFI47%
O/U 7.547%
Spread -1.541%
O/U 8.540%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.538%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.533%
Spread -2.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.528%
Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.522%
Spread -2.520%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.519%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 66% probability to cleveland guardians vs. chicago white sox. In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 8 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win t…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 66% for "Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 66% Other 34%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $131K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

Trade Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox on Who Will Win 2026

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports