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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 5.5 68% O/U 6.5 59% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 51% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 51% Volume: $427K Liquidity: $92K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 5.568%
O/U 6.559%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
Spread -2.550%
Spread -1.549%
O/U 9.549%
O/U 7.544%
O/U 8.534%
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians22%
Spread -1.515%
NRFI0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 68% probability to chicago white sox vs. cleveland guardians. In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 2 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the gam…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 5.5 at 68% for "Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians".

O/U 5.5 68% Other 32%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $427K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports