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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Five-platform snapshot of "Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.5 76% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% Seattle Mariners O/U 2.5 70% O/U 6.5 60% Volume: $128K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.576%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.570%
Seattle Mariners O/U 2.570%
O/U 6.560%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 2.559%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.556%
Seattle Mariners O/U 3.555%
NRFI47%
O/U 7.546%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 3.544%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.542%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners41%
Spread -1.541%
Seattle Mariners O/U 4.541%
O/U 8.539%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.535%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.531%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 4.531%
Seattle Mariners O/U 6.531%
Spread -2.530%
Spread -1.528%
Seattle Mariners O/U 5.528%
Los Angeles Angels O/U 5.527%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.522%
Spread -2.520%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.519%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Market consensus: 76% chance of los angeles angels vs. seattle mariners. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for September 26 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.5 at 76% for "Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners".

Los Angeles Angels O/U 1.5 76% Other 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $128K.

Methodology

We track Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports