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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets 60% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 54% O/U 7.5 49% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $996K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.570%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets60%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.554%
O/U 7.549%
Spread -1.546%
NRFI44%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.541%
O/U 8.540%
Spread -2.535%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.533%
O/U 9.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.527%
Spread -1.526%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.521%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.519%
Spread -2.516%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

Market consensus: 70% chance of los angeles dodgers vs. new york mets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets, scheduled for July 25 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angele…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 70% for "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $163K.

Methodology

This page reviews Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports