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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Five-platform snapshot of "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% O/U 6.5 65% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 56% O/U 7.5 52% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $738K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.570%
O/U 6.565%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.556%
O/U 7.552%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates47%
NRFI45%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.543%
Spread -1.536%
Spread -1.535%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.521%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.514%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

The Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction market currently prices this outcome at 70% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 12 at 12:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the ga…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 70% for "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $94K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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