Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Columbus Crew (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Columbus Crew (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Atlanta United FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Columbus Crew will face Atlanta United FC in an MLS regular-season match on 24 May 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 17:00 ET. The market is currently pricing this as a certainty at 100% implied probability, suggesting traders believe additional betting markets for this fixture will definitely be offered before settlement closes.
Historical precedent shows that MLS fixtures of this profile—mid-season regular-season matches between established clubs—almost invariably generate supplementary markets beyond the standard three-way result. Crew-Atlanta clashes have consistently attracted secondary wagering options including both-teams-to-score, total goals, and player performance props. The 100% reading reflects this pattern rather than any extraordinary confidence in this specific pairing; the market is essentially pricing in standard MLS betting infrastructure. However, the settlement window extends to 21:00 ET on match day, creating a narrow window for market deployment after kickoff, which introduces minor execution risk that consensus pricing may not fully account for.
Traders should monitor whether either club announces significant squad absences or injury updates in the week preceding the fixture, as this could influence whether sportsbooks choose to delay market launches. Recent MLS scheduling has seen accelerated market rollout for higher-profile fixtures, but Crew-Atlanta sits mid-table in terms of commercial draw. The absence of any recent news suggesting operational delays at major betting platforms suggests the consensus view remains sound, though the 100% price leaves no margin for unexpected broadcasting or regulatory complications.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $206K.
Methodology
We track Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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