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Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 97% O/U 1.5 88% Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.5 85% Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5 83% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $550K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.597%
O/U 1.588%
Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.585%
Inter Miami CF O/U 0.583%
1st Half O/U 0.581%
2nd Half O/U 0.571%
2nd Half O/U 1.571%
Both Teams to Score70%
O/U 2.569%
Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.556%
Chicago Fire FC 1st Half O/U 0.554%
Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 0.553%
Inter Miami CF O/U 1.552%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half52%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Chicago Fire FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Chicago Fire FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 3.548%
1st Half O/U 1.545%
O/U 4.528%
Both Teams to Score in First Half28%
Chicago Fire FC O/U 2.528%
Inter Miami CF O/U 2.525%
Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)21%
Inter Miami CF (-1.5)19%
1st Half O/U 2.519%
Chicago Fire FC 1st Half O/U 1.518%
Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 1.517%
O/U 5.514%
Chicago Fire FC (-2.5)9%
Inter Miami CF (-2.5)8%

Market context

Market consensus: 97% chance of inter miami cf vs. chicago fire fc - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 22 at 7:30 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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Related Topics

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