Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Inter Miami and Philadelphia United are scheduled to meet in an MLS regular-season fixture on 24 May at 19:00 ET. The market is currently pricing additional markets for this match at 100% implied probability, suggesting near-certainty that supplementary betting options will be offered alongside the primary match outcome.

The 100% reading reflects standard MLS scheduling reliability and the established pattern of major sportsbooks extending market depth for fixtures involving marquee franchises. Inter Miami's prominence—bolstered by Lionel Messi's presence through the 2024 season and ongoing roster investment—has consistently triggered expanded market offerings. Philadelphia, as an established Eastern Conference side with stable fixture status, typically qualifies for the same treatment. Historical precedent shows that MLS matches involving either club rarely settle without ancillary markets (goal-scorer props, corner totals, card counts) being made available, particularly when scheduled well in advance.

Traders should monitor team news and injury bulletins in the weeks preceding the fixture, as significant absences could theoretically reduce bookmaker appetite for extended markets. Messi's availability status, should he remain contracted through May 2026, would be the primary catalyst affecting market depth. Fixture congestion—whether either side faces a midweek commitment immediately before or after—occasionally influences the breadth of offerings. The MLS fixture calendar typically stabilises by late spring, reducing scheduling volatility. With settlement occurring post-match on 24 May, the consensus at 100% leaves no obvious value angle; any contrarian position would require confidence that unforeseen circumstances (severe weather, administrative issues) would prevent supplementary markets from launching.

Methodology

We track Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.