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New York City FC vs. Toronto FC - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "New York City FC vs. Toronto FC - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 87% O/U 2.5 79% Volume: $184K Liquidity: $495K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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New York City FC vs. Toronto FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.587%
O/U 2.579%
New York City FC O/U 0.577%
Both Teams to Score73%
Toronto FC O/U 0.570%
New York City FC O/U 1.564%
1st Half O/U 1.562%
New York City FC O/U 2.556%
Both Teams to Score in First Half54%
Toronto FC O/U 1.553%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
New York City FC 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
New York City FC 1st Half O/U 1.548%
Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 1.547%
New York City FC (-1.5)42%
O/U 3.540%
Toronto FC O/U 2.537%
New York City FC (-2.5)32%
O/U 4.524%
O/U 5.520%
1st Half O/U 2.519%
Toronto FC (-2.5)17%
Toronto FC (-1.5)14%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, new york city fc vs. toronto fc - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 31 at 7:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews New York City FC vs. Toronto FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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