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Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.5 100% PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $403K Liquidity: $952K Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.5100%
PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
PFK Levski Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.551%
Qairat FK O/U 0.550%
Qairat FK O/U 2.550%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Qairat FK 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Qairat FK 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
PFK Levski Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.549%
PFK Levski Sofia O/U 2.549%
O/U 1.520%
Both Teams to Score11%
Qairat FK O/U 1.511%
PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)8%
O/U 2.52%
Team to Advance2%
Qairat FK (-1.5)1%
O/U 3.51%
O/U 5.51%
Qairat FK (-2.5)0%
PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Qairat FK 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Qairat FK 1st Half O/U 1.50%
PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, qairat fk vs. pfk levski sofia - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for August 11 at 11:00 AM ET.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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