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UFC Fight Night: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller (Welterweight, Prelims)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller (Welterweight, Prelims)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Miller to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $769K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller (Welterweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Miller to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller0%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Goff to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: billy ray goff vs. ty miller (welterweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Billy Ray Goff" if Billy Ray Goff is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ty Miller at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. I…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller (Welterweight, Prelims)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $769K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller (Welterweight, Prelims) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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