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UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas (Flyweight, Prelims)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas (Flyweight, Prelims)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas 100% Fight won by submission? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Fight to Go the Distance? 0% Volume: $243K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas (Flyweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas100%
Fight won by submission?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Tsuruya to win by KO/TKO?0%
Borjas to win by KO/TKO?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas (Flyweight, Prelims). This market will resolve to "Rei Tsuruya" if Rei Tsuruya is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kevin Borjas at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas (Flyweight, Prelims)".

Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $243K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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