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Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 72% Fight to Go the Distance? 54% O/U 0.5 Rounds 51% Fight won by submission? 50% Volume: $112K Liquidity: $6K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?72%
Fight to Go the Distance?54%
O/U 0.5 Rounds51%
Fight won by submission?50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds50%
Rodrigues to win by KO/TKO?39%
O/U 1.5 Rounds38%
Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues18%
Miller to win by KO/TKO?9%

Market context

Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) — current market-implied probability: 72%. This market will resolve to "Trent Miller" if Trent Miller is officially declared the winner of the fight against Douglas Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for A…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 72% for "Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 72% Other 28%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $112K.

Methodology

This page reviews Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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