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UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Live odds for "UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 73% O/U 1.5 Rounds 66% Fight to Go the Distance? 62% Fight won by decision? 62% Volume: $88K Liquidity: $120K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds73%
O/U 1.5 Rounds66%
Fight to Go the Distance?62%
Fight won by decision?62%
Decision or Draw62%
O/U 2.5 Rounds61%
Fight won by KO/TKO?32%
Ends before Round 3?32%
Demopoulos in Round 127%
Jauregui in Round 127%
Demopoulos in Round 226%
Demopoulos in Round 326%
Jauregui in Round 226%
Jauregui in Round 326%
Demopoulos to win by KO/TKO?25%
Fight won by submission?25%
Jauregui to win by KO/TKO?22%
Ends before Round 2?18%
Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui13%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: vanessa demopoulos vs. yazmin jauregui (women's strawweight, prelims) stands at 73% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Vanessa Demopoulos" if Vanessa Demopoulos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Yazmin Jauregui at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barc…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 73% for "UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 73% Other 27%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $88K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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