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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $315K Liquidity: $590K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs 100 Thieves (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs 100 Thieves (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-7.5) vs 100 Thieves (+7.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-9.5) vs 100 Thieves (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-8.5) vs 100 Thieves (+8.5)99%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)50%
Match Winner48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)23%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs BBL Esports (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs BBL Esports (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs BBL Esports (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs BBL Esports (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs BBL Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs BBL Esports (+5.5)0%
Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: 100 thieves vs bbl esports (bo3) - esports world cup group a. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between 100 Thieves and BBL Esports in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 4 at 7:00AM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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