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Valorant: FUT Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: FUT Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) 100% Volume: $182K Liquidity: $539K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Valorant: FUT Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.548%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-7.5) vs GIANTX (+7.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: fut esports vs giantx (bo3) - vct emea play-ins. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between FUT Esports and GIANTX in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 8 at 11:00AM ET. This…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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