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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) 100% Volume: $353K Liquidity: $4.6M Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)72%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs Eternal Fire (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-8.5) vs Eternal Fire (+8.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-9.5) vs Eternal Fire (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-11.5) vs Eternal Fire (+11.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: karmine corp vs eternal fire (bo3) - vct emea group omega stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Karmine Corp and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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