Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Match Winner | 85% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 49% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 35% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Karmine Corp (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs Karmine Corp (+8.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: nrg vs karmine corp (bo3) - esports world cup group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between NRG and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 6 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resol…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World … on Who Will Win 2026
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →