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Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 76% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5) 66% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Volume: $64K Liquidity: $95K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.576%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)66%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Match Winner57%
Map 1 Winner55%
Map 2 Winner55%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)43%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)42%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map Handicap: OSG (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)30%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.524%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: onside gaming vs team secret (bo3) - vct pacific play-in stands at 76% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between ONSIDE GAMING and Team Secret in the VCT Pacific Play-In, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 4:00 AM …

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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