Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Other | — | |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 82% YES | 18% NO |
| Cory Sandhagen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Song Yadong | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Rob Font | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Pedro Munhoz | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Petr Yan, the former UFC bantamweight champion, faces an uncertain near-term matchup schedule as of late 2024. The Russian fighter has competed sporadically in recent years, with his last bout occurring in April 2023 against Sean O'Malley, a loss that shifted his trajectory within the division. Any official UFC announcement pairing Yan with a named opponent and a confirmed date will settle this market, making the timing of the promotion's next booking decision the critical variable.
Historical precedent suggests Yan's next fight announcement could arrive within a 6–12 month window, though UFC scheduling remains volatile. Comparable cases—such as Dominick Cruz's return from injury or T.J. Dillashaw's comeback fights—show that elite bantamweights often face 8–18 month gaps between bouts when recovering from losses or negotiating terms. Yan's profile as a former champion typically commands main-card or co-main-card slots, which narrows the pool of viable opponents and extends booking timelines.
Traders should monitor UFC Fight Night and pay-per-view event announcements through 2025, particularly any statements from UFC president Dana White regarding Yan's division standing. Recent reporting from MMA Junkie and ESPN MMA has indicated the promotion's focus on rebuilding the bantamweight title picture around O'Malley and Merab Dvalishvili. Yan's next opponent will likely depend on whether the UFC positions him as a title contender or a stepping-stone matchup for a rising prospect. Contract negotiations and injury status updates will signal the promotion's timeline for his return.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Who will Petr Yan fight next? on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →