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Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win 2026.

O/U 169.5 53% Spread -6.5 47% Spread -7.5 43% NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 10.5 34% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $195K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 169.553%
Spread -6.547%
Spread -7.543%
NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 10.534%
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces33%
NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.533%
Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.533%
Shakira Austin: Points O/U 16.532%
Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.531%
NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 11.531%
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.528%
Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.528%
Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.527%
Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.527%
NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.527%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.526%
Jackie Young: Points O/U 19.526%
Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 4.525%
Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.524%
A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.524%
Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.523%
Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.522%
Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.522%
Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.519%
O/U 170.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 53% probability to washington mystics vs. las vegas aces. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 13 at 10:00PM ET: If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 169.5 at 53% for "Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces".

O/U 169.5 53% Other 47%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $120K.

Methodology

We track Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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