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World Cup Final: Who Will Attend?

Live odds for "World Cup Final: Who Will Attend?" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

King Felipe VI 100% Mikie Sherrill 100% Kathy Hochul 100% David Beckham 100% Volume: $134K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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World Cup Final: Who Will Attend?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
King Felipe VI100%
Mikie Sherrill100%
Kathy Hochul100%
David Beckham100%
Tom Brady100%
Sean Duffy100%
Marco Rubio100%
Drake100%
Serena Williams100%
Timothée Chalamet100%
Antonela Roccuzzo100%
Zinedine Zidane100%
Mark Carney100%
Claudia Sheinbaum100%
Javier Milei0%
Rupert Murdoch0%
Pam Bondi0%
Kristi Noem0%
Cristiano Ronaldo0%
Elon Musk0%
Jeff Bezos0%
LeBron James0%
Kim Kardashian0%
Leonardo DiCaprio0%
Bad Bunny0%
Rosalía0%
Rafael Nadal0%
Pep Guardiola0%

Market context

The World Cup Final: Who Will Attend? prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attending the match is defined as being in physical atte…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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