Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann

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Market context

Mirra Andreeva faces Jil Teichmann in the Roland Garros women's draw, with the market pricing Andreeva at 91% to advance. The match was originally scheduled for 31 May 2026 at 05:00 ET, though Roland Garros scheduling often shifts based on court availability and preceding matches.

Andreeva's trajectory since her breakthrough 2024 season has established her as a clay-court threat, particularly at Roland Garros where she reached the semi-finals as a teenager. Teichmann, now in her early thirties, has managed sporadic deep runs at majors but faces the perennial challenge of maintaining consistency across surfaces. Historical precedent suggests that when a rising player with recent major success faces an older opponent in a slump phase, the consensus typically overweights the favourite by 5–8 percentage points. At 91%, the market may be pricing in Andreeva's superior ranking and recent form without fully accounting for Teichmann's occasional capacity to elevate her game in knockout tennis.

The key variable remains Andreeva's injury status and match sharpness entering Roland Garros. Any withdrawal or late-round losses in the lead-up would compress the 91% figure substantially. Teichmann's recent WTA results and whether she has logged competitive clay-court matches beforehand will signal her readiness; a player returning from layoff or injury typically underperforms seeding. Settlement occurs 7 June 2026, allowing for a week's buffer beyond the scheduled date before the market resolves to 50-50 if the match remains unplayed.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Who Will Win 2026?

Zero. Who Will Win 2026 routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.