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Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff

Five-platform snapshot of "Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.5 64% Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Set Handicap +/-1.5 56% Completed Match 50% Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $630K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.564%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Set Handicap +/-1.556%
Completed Match50%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Game Spread +/-5.550%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 21.545%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 22.541%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 23.539%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Total Sets: O/U 2.534%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Set 1 Winner28%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Set 2 Winner27%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff22%
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 10.520%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 64% probability to cincinnati open: sara bejlek vs coco gauff. This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Bejlek and Coco Gauff in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Bejlek' if S…

Methodology

This page reviews Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauff on Who Will Win 2026

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