Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 62% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 Winner | 60% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 43% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson | 24% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson. This market refers to the tennis match between Elisabetta Cocciaretto and Clara Tauson in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …
Methodology
We track Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Cla… on Who Will Win 2026
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →