Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 77% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Match O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 2 Winner | 27% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova | 7% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, livesport prague open: lucie havlickova vs barbora krejcikova stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Havlickova and Barbora Krejcikova in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This mark…
Methodology
We track Livesport Prague Open: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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