Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova. This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Micic and Linda Fruhvirtova in the Livesport Prague Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs… on Who Will Win 2026
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →