Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto. This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Navarro and Elisabetta Cocciaretto in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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