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Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win 2026.

Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva 100% Completed Match 100% Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Set 1 Winner 100% Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $113K Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva100%
Completed Match100%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Set 1 Winner100%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Set 2 Winner100%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Match O/U 21.50%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Match O/U 22.50%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Match O/U 23.50%
Warsaw: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia Karatancheva Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of warsaw: zuzanna pawlikowska vs lia karatancheva. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Zuzanna Pawlikowska and Lia Karatancheva in the Warsaw, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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