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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Set 1 O/U 8.5 70% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala 61% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Set 1 Winner 56% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Set 2 Winner 55% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $460K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Set 1 O/U 8.570%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala61%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Set 1 Winner56%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Set 2 Winner55%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Match O/U 21.553%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Set 1 O/U 9.548%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Match O/U 22.547%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Match O/U 23.544%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Set Handicap +/-1.538%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala Set 1 O/U 10.525%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 70% YES probability for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala. This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Alexandra Eala in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessi…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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