Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of japan women's open: mary stoiana vs moyuka uchijima. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Moyuka Uchijima in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima on Who Will Win 2026
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