STRC hits $100 by…

Platform comparison

Market context

STRC would need an intraday spike to **$100** on a TradingView 1-minute candle before 31 December 2026, and the market is pricing that as a long shot at **0% YES**. That makes the favourite plainly **No**, with any value on the YES side depending on whether the name can revisit the upper end of its recent range rather than merely stabilise in the high-80s.[18][20]

The best historical frame is that STRC has already traded in and around the relevant zone, so this is not a pure fantasy price, but the bar is a *single 1-minute high* rather than a closing level, which makes a brief liquidity-driven wick more plausible than a sustained move. Recent coverage says Strategy’s own objective is for STRC to trade around **$99–$100**, and one report noted prediction markets had already repriced the year-end chance well above zero, with one snapshot at **56.5%** and another at **53.5%**, though those are broader market views than this specific market’s current **0%** quote.[2][3][5]

For traders, the key catalysts are Strategy’s capital-allocation updates, Bitcoin price swings, and any renewed commentary on keeping STRC near par, because those have been the narrative drivers behind earlier re-ratings. If Bitcoin remains steady and the company continues to build cash support, the contrarian case is that a sharp repricing wick can appear even if the base case is still under $100; if sentiment weakens or liquidity stays thin, the underdog angle remains a clean fade because the current consensus is heavily against a one-minute print at $100.[2][5][9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.