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Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win 2026.

Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set 1 Winner 100% Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 8.5 90% Volume: $219K Liquidity: $338K Closes: 4 Sept 2026
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Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set 1 Winner100%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 8.590%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena56%
Completed Match50%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 21.550%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set 2 Winner50%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 22.550%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 23.550%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

The Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Benito Sanchez Martinez and Facundo Mena in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benito San…

Methodology

We track Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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