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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $487K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-1.5100%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud0%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner0%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 2 Winner0%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.50%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 22.50%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to shanghai rolex masters: yunchaokete bu vs casper ruud. This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yunch…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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