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China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva

Five-platform snapshot of "China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Set 1 Winner 100% China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $128K Liquidity: $200K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
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China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Set 1 Winner100%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Match O/U 21.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Match O/U 22.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Match O/U 23.591%
Completed Match55%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva43%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Game Spread +/-1.51%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Set 2 Winner0%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Set 2 O/U 8.50%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Set 2 O/U 9.50%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Set 2 O/U 10.50%
China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to china open, qualification: alex molcan vs vit kopriva. This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Vit Kopriva in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Al…

Methodology

This page reviews China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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