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Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain 100% Completed Match 100% Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Set 1 Winner 100% Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $103K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain100%
Completed Match100%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Set 1 Winner100%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Set 2 Winner100%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.50%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 22.50%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 23.50%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of roehampton: oliver tarvet vs lucas poullain. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Oliver Tarvet and Lucas Poullain in the Roehampton, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

This page reviews Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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