Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Leviatán Esports face G2 Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs upper bracket final, a best-of-three encounter that will determine direct advancement to the grand final. The match was originally scheduled for 22 May at 17:00 ET, with settlement contingent on completion by 23 May at 03:00 UTC. The 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty that the match will occur as planned, though the settlement window's seven-day cancellation clause creates technical resolution risk should unforeseen circumstances delay proceedings.

Leviatán have established themselves as the region's most consistent performer across recent VCT cycles, whilst G2 represent the established European franchise with substantial resources and international pedigree. Historical upper bracket finals in VCT Americas have typically favoured teams with deeper map pools and proven stage experience under pressure; Leviatán's domestic dominance contrasts with G2's variable form in regional competition. The current odds structure leaves minimal room for either team's underlying match probability to shift the settlement outcome, suggesting traders are pricing primarily for match completion rather than competitive uncertainty.

Monitoring should focus on roster confirmations and any last-minute scheduling conflicts from Riot's official VCT channels. Recent VCT Americas fixtures have proceeded on schedule despite logistical pressures, establishing precedent for the May window. The settlement mechanism's 50-50 resolution for incomplete matches creates asymmetric risk only if delays extend beyond the seven-day threshold—a scenario that would require extraordinary circumstances given the playoff stage's fixed calendar.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.